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Monday, November 5, 2012

Pakistan's Next Election---40 Constituencies Will Be Most Important

During the next general election 40 NA constituencies will see hard fighjts for the votes and government as well as opposition has started preparations to win the seats. Among these constituencies include Lahore constituency of Nawaz Sharif, Raja Parvez Ashraf's Gojar Khan constituency, Mianwali of Imran Khan, Charsadda of Asfanyar Wali, Dera Ismail Khan of Maulana Fazal ur Rahman, Dr Firdaus Ashiq Awan of Sialkot, Munawwar Hassan of Karachi, Kaira's Lala Musa, Chaudhary Nisar's Rawalpindi, Ahmad Mukhtar's and Ch Parvez Ilahi of Gujrat, Hina Rabbani Khar of Muzaffar Garh, Makhdoom Amin Fahim's Matyari, Makhdoom Javed Hasmi's and Shah Mahmood Qureshi's Multan, MQM's Farooq Sattar's Karachi and Rawalpindi constituency of Sheikh Rashid as well as several other constituencies of important top politicians of the country. Political analysts believe that Nawaz Sharif, Imran Khan, Fazal Rahman, Javed Hashmi, Munawar Hassan, Sheikh Rashid, and Parvez Ilahi may contest from more than one constituencies. While it is said that Mian Shahbaz Sharif and Mian Manzoor Watoo, being the candidates of chief ministership will concentrate all their attention to provincial seat. In the next general elections Asif Zardari being president, Ch Shujat Hussain as senator and Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani due to inillegibilty will not contest election. In the last election Nawaz Sharif was not illigible for contesting , Imran Khan had bouycotted the election and Munawwar Hassan due to supporting Imran Khan did not participate in the election. During the last elections winning NA seat from Gojar Khan as an ordinary MNA Raja Parvez Ashraf is now prime Minister of Pakistan and has been included in the "Heavy Weight" personalities so his constuency will have tough competition. Political pandits say that there will be record political migration of 'political migratory birds' before the election. No doubt, due to menace of corruption, load shedding, sky rocketting price hike, unemployment, worsening law and order situation in Sind and Baluchistan, target killings, extortionists' activities and street crimes, the ruling alliance of PPP, ANP, MQM and PML (Q) will face difficultiers in winning the seats. But, the agenda cosisting of common interests of the 4 parties, and far reaching impacts bearing and based on reconcilation strategy for election compaign of Asif Zardari will give tough time to the MMA constituted with out the participation of leading opposition political parties like PML(N), PTI, Jamaat E Islami. Pakistan Muslim League (N) in Sind, will mostly depend on the support of nationalists and Zardari opposing groups, in which the affect of Mumtaz Bhutto is prominent. However, the popularity of the nationlists in Sind was never so significant. PML(N) will benefit, if, the the nationalists could highlight to the masses the difference between the PPP of late Ba Nazir Bhutto and that of Asif Zardari. It is also expected that for neutralize the negative affects of alliance with MQM Asif Zardari may creat an environment of apparent confrontation with MQM under a pre-planned strategy, for which Zulfiqar Mirza may be assigned an important resposibility. After, the declaration of election results, the actual face of the "hidden friendship" will come to light in the name of reconciliation policy, as usual.

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