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Wednesday, January 26, 2011

How Afghanistan And Iran Will Look Like In 2011


The important question before the Americans is that what the new strategy they have planned for Afghanistan, will it be successful or not. In this context an American think tank Anthony from "Center for strategic and international studies" says that it is very difficult to say whether half the glass is full or empty because glass is still being filled. He says that war has entered in 9th year and when in June and December 2011 strategy will be reviewed that stage can be decisive. The President Obama has promised in 2009 that withdrawal back of the troops will commence during July 2011. The American establishment did not like this decision and then NATO had to say about the stay of army till 2014. However, this decision may result in bloodshed in Afghanistan. At least during 2011 no success of US or NATO seems likely in this useless war. This war is losing the favor from Americans as well. However, President Obama will decline to make any big decision in this regard during 2011.
Iran:-
The Iranian President Mehmood Ahmed will have to face many challenges from different fronts during 2011. One of the front may be from opposition. There also remains the danger on nuclear installations by US or Israel. They may hit these by missiles. The majority of Iranian is facing great difficulty for the first time in life after Iran-Iraq war, due to economic sanctions that are increasing day by day. Iran is unable to use international banking system resulting in the closure of flow of foreign investment or getting loans. Therefore unemployment rate is increasing. Due to lack of technology and investment the quantity of oils from well have been decreased. During 1978 Iran's daily oil spill was 6 million barrels, in 2000 it decreased to 4.5 and now remains only 3.5 million barrels per day. The price hike is 9 % while unofficially it is 30 %. The prices daily food items rose to double during the last 4-5 years, therefore government has withdrawn subsidy on many items. Specially the rising prices of petrol, gas, electricity, cooking oil and bread will create restlessness among the people that will be problems for the Iranian president during the year.

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